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Monday, January 4, 2010

2009 Investing In Review

At the beginning of the year we set up some hypothetical portfolios. Rather than review them in individual detail, lets just look at some performance.

One S and P 500 index fund, symbol spy, was us up 25.48% for 2009.

Fortune Magazine picked 10 stocks for 2009.

Here is how it did:



Name
Symbol
Last price
Mkt value
Gain
Altria Group, Inc.
MO
19.79
1290.476
289.1662
Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
NLY
17.41
1082.293
82.293
Dell Inc.
DELL
14.54
1388.325
388.3248
Devon Energy Corporation
DVN
76.57
1107.645
107.645
Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc.
DO
101.17
1653.456
653.456
Fluor Corporation (NEW)
FLR
46.01
993.5824
-6.4176
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
64.68
1065.986
65.9855
Medco Health Solutions Inc.
MHS
65.11
1509.554
508.8442
Pfizer Inc.
PFE
18.93
1016.821
16.821
Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA)
POT
112.2
1466.92
466.92
Cash
397.26
12972.32


So we are 29.72 % which beats the S and P Fund by 4.24% which is impressive. Notice that half of the stocks beat the S and P and half did not. So you can see the risk.

This was the best of our portfolios. The bond weighting in the others pulled them down. International exposure was great.

Now we will see what 2010 will bring.


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Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Hey An Up Month

Well we finally had a month when the major averages moved up. And that is no April Fools joke!

Here is how we did.

Our portfolio of 10 stocks from Fortune Magazine gained $269 and now has a value of $9027.
Name Symbol Last price Change Shares Cost basis Mkt value
Altria Group, Inc. MO 16.02 -0.36 65.74 1001.31 1053.11
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. NLY 13.87 0.41 62.38 1000 865.24
Dell Inc. DELL 9.48 -0.01 96.68 1000 916.52
Devon Energy Corporation DVN 44.69 0.07 15.07 1000 673.31
Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. DO 62.86 -2.96 16.8 1000 1055.84
Fluor Corporation (NEW) FLR 34.55 -0.28 22.06 1000 762.3
Johnson & Johnson JNJ 52.6 -0.41 16.55 1000 870.37
Medco Health Solutions Inc. MHS 41.34 1.74 23.62 1000.71 976.54
Pfizer Inc. PFE 13.62 -0.08 55.9 1000 761.37
Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) POT 80.81 -0.98 13.52 1000 1092.62
Cash
-2.02


-2.02
Total




9027.22

Our low risk portfolio gained $285 and looks like this:
Name Symbol Last price Change Shares Cost basis Mkt value
Schwab Total Stock Market Index Inv SWTIX 14.02 0.19 181.52 2800 2544.94
Schwab International Index Inv SWINX 11.21 0.27 90.43 1200 1013.67
Schwab Total Bond Market SWLBX 8.75 0.02 670.77 6000 5869.26
Cash
0


0






9427.87

Our medium risk portfolio gained $360. Portfolio looks like this:
Name Symbol Last price Change Shares Cost basis Mkt value
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index VBMFX 10.1 0.01 390.79 4000 3947.01
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VGTSX 9.39 0.22 167.6 1800 1573.79
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 19.32 0.25 195.43 4200 3775.69
Cash
0


0






9296.49
Our rebalancing act gained $320 and looks like:
Name Symbol Last price Change Shares Cost basis Mkt value
iShares S&P 500 Index (ETF) IVV 79.62 0.63 61.1 5476.05 4864.74
Cash
4523.94


4523.94






9388.68


We then rebalace by selling some 2.14 etf shares:
Name Symbol Last price Change Shares Cost basis Mkt value
iShares S&P 500 Index (ETF) IVV 79.62 0.63 58.96 5282.4 4694.35
Cash
4684.33


4684.33


Hopefully we have some good months ahead.

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Thursday, January 1, 2009

Testing Simple Investment Ideas in 2009

2008 was certainly a bad year for almost all investors. 2009 may be bad also, or not. However, if you sit out then you will miss the recovery, when and if it ever happens.

I thought it would be fun to track some investment ideas in 2009. Tools such as the portfolio at Google finance make this easy to do. For all of our portfolios we will hypothetically invest $10,000 and charge ourselves a discount brokers fee of $10 per transaction. We will also start with the closing prices as of December 31, 2008. Here are the initial set ups:

1. A portfolio of 10 stocks from the December 12 issue of Fortune Magazine. Fortune picked 10 stocks to own in 2009. We will buy $990 worth of each and use up our mythical $10,000 with the brokerage fee. Fortune did make these picks earlier in December and there has been some price movement since then.

Here is our starting value:
Name Symbol Last price Shares Mkt value
Altria Group, Inc. MO 15.06 65.74 990
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. NLY 15.87 62.38 990
Dell Inc. DELL 10.24 96.68 990
Devon Energy Corporation DVN 65.71 15.07 990
Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. DO 58.94 16.8 990
Fluor Corporation (NEW) FLR 44.87 22.06 990
Johnson & Johnson JNJ 59.83 16.55 990
Medco Health Solutions Inc. MHS 41.91 23.62 990
Pfizer Inc. PFE 17.71 55.9 990
Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) POT 73.22 13.52 990
Valuation


9900


2. A "low risk" portfolio suggested by Daniel R. Solin in his book The Smartest Investment Book You'll Ever Read. The portfolio consists of a total stock market index fund, a total international index fund, and an bond index fund, weighted 28%, 12% and 60%. We will use index funds from Charles Schwab.






Name Symbol Last price Shares Mkt value
Schwab Total Stock Market Index In SWTIX 15.37 181.52 2790
Schwab International Index
SWINX 13.16 90.43 1190
Schwab Total Bond Market SWLBX 8.93 670.77 5990
Valuation


9970


























3. A "medium risk" porfolio also suggested by Daniel R. Solin in his book The Smartest Investment Book You'll Ever Read. This is similar to the low risk portfolio except it is weighted 42%, 18% and 40%. For fun, we will use Vanguard Funds rather than Schwab.




Name Symbol Last price Shares Mkt value
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index VBMFX 10.21 390.79 3990
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VGTSX 10.68 167.6 1790
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 21.44 195.43 4190
Valuation


9970





























4. Rebalance. We will start with 50% cash and 50% an S and P 500 exchange traded fund. Each month we will rebalance to the 50-50 allocation, spending $10 to make the trade.
Name Symbol Last price Shares Mkt value
iShares S&P 500 Index (ETF) IVV 90.31 55.31 4995
Cash
4995
4995
Portfolio


9990



I plan to post on the first Wednesday of each month the standings of each portfolio. I may add one or more in January, but the idea is to track these ideas going forward.

Do you have any you want to add?

Let the games begin.

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